Illinois Senate: Giannoulias (D) 43%, Kirk (R) 41%

Rasmussen Reports

The Illinois Senate race remains very close.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Illinois finds Democrat Alexi Giannoulias with 43% support to Republican Mark Kirk’s 41%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided.

Both men have been battling ethics questions for weeks. Thirty-one percent (31%) of Illinois voters now rate Giannoulias as less ethical than most politicians, and 21% say the same of Kirk.

Voters tend to grade politicians on a curve and most Illinois voters still say both men are at least as ethical as most politicians. For Giannoulias, 52% hold that view including eight percent (8%) who say the Democrat is more ethical than most of his political peers.

For Kirk, the numbers are only slightly better. Sixty percent (60%) say his ethics are at least as good as most politicians while 10% view him as more ethical.

Earlier this month, Giannoulias, the state’s current treasurer, led Kirk, a U.S. congressman, 40% to 39%.

The slight uptick in Kirk’s numbers appears to signal an end to a downward trend for the Republican candidate. For Giannoulias, it’s the fifth straight single point increase in support.

In six previous surveys back to February, Giannoulias has earned 37% to 44% of the vote. Kirk’s support in those same surveys has ranged from 39% to 46%.

Illinois remains one of seven Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on July 26, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters in the state view Kirk as a conservative, but 21% say he’s a moderate.

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