Wisconsin Senate: Johnson (R) 51%, Feingold (D) 44%

Rasmussen Reports

After a decisive win in Tuesday’s Republican Primary, businessman Ron Johnson now holds a seven-point lead over incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold in Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Johnson picking up 51% support, while Feingold earns the vote from 44%. One percent (1%) of voters prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided.

However, the race is still considered a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

The survey was conducted one night after Johnson’s primary victory in which he received 85% of the vote in a three-way race. Feingold, who is running for his fourth term in the Senate, ran uncontested in Tuesday’s Democratic primary. Future surveys will determine whether Johnson’s jump ahead is just a post-primary bounce or reflects a serious change in the race.

This is the first Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 survey in Wisconsin to include leaners. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.

When leaners are excluded from the totals, Johnson leads Feingold 50% to 43%. In late August, Johnson and Feingold were tied in results without leaners. Prior to the latest poll, support for Johnson ranged from 44% to 48% in surveys since February. In those same surveys, Feingold had consistently picked up 46% of the vote.

More than 80% of the supporters for both candidates say they’ve already made up their minds how they will vote in November.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on September 15, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Rasmussen Reports will release its first post-primary numbers for the Wisconsin gubernatorial race this weekend.

Johnson is backed by 94% of Republicans in Wisconsin, while 86% of the state’s Democrats support Feingold. Johnson holds a nearly two-to-one lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Wisconsin voters favor repeal of the new national health care reform law, while 40% oppose repeal. Those numbers include 45% who Strongly Favor repeal and 31% who Strongly Oppose it. This is similar to results found nationwide.

To read more, visit: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2010_wisconsin_senate

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