Poll: Scott Brown, Martha Coakley only 2 points apart

A new poll in the special U.S. Senate election between Attorney General Martha Coakley and state Sen. Scott Brown shows the contest is shaping up to be a nail-biter.

The results of a Rasmussen telephone survey released yesterday found Coakley, a Democrat, capturing 49 percent of likely voters while her Republican opponent, Brown, is garnering 47 percent.

A Rasmussen poll released last week found Coakley leading Brown by a margin of 50 to 41 percent.

Rasmussen, however, notes the results of this week’s survey are not “precisely comparable” with the earlier results because this new poll included the independent candidate Joseph L. Kennedy by name. The pollster said the previous survey only offered a third choice of “some other candidate.”

The special election to replace the late U.S. Sen. Edward M. Kennedy is on Tuesday.

The poll said turnout is key and Brown’s voters “appear to be more energized.” Lower turnout favors Brown, the poll said.

The survey also found favorability views of the candidates are about the same. The poll said 59 percent of respondents have a favorable view of Brown and 58 percent have a favorable view of Coakley.

A majority of those surveyed believe Coakley will win.

The survey found 59 percent of voters expect victory for the AG, while 33 percent believe Brown will win.

Posted from: http://www.bostonherald.com/news/politics/view.bg?articleid=1225331&srvc=home&position=emailed

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