Maine Governor: LePage (R) Drops To Near Tie with Mitchell (D)

Rasmussen Reports

A month ago, Republican Paul LePage led Democrat Libby Mitchell by nearly 20 points in Maine’s gubernatorial race. Now LePage’s support has fallen to a new low, putting him in a near tie with Mitchell.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows LePage picking up 35% of the vote, while Mitchell draws support from 32%. Democrat-turned-independent Eliot Cutler now earns 21% of the vote. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and another six percent (6%) are undecided. (For survey question wording, click here.)

These numbers move the race from Solid GOP to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

In mid-September, LePage held a 45% to 27% lead over Mitchell. Later that month, LePage’s comments to reporters about President Obama and news of his family’s tax problems in Florida made headlines.

In five surveys conducted since June, LePage, the mayor of Waterville, has earned 35% to 45% of the vote. Mitchell, president of the State Senate, has earned 27% to 36% of the vote in those same surveys. Cutler now receives his highest level of support yet, after failing to earn more than 16% in four previous surveys.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Maine was conducted on October 12, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Forty-two percent (42%) of Maine voters now share a favorable opinion of LePage, down 16 points from the previous survey. Fifty-one percent (51%) now view him unfavorably, up 15 points from last month. These numbers include 19% who have a Very Favorable view and 35% who share a Very Unfavorable impression of the Republican.

Mitchell is viewed favorably by 45%, including 17% who share a Very Favorable impression.  Fifty percent (50%) regard the Democrat unfavorably, with 29% who see her Very Unfavorably. Those numbers have changed little from last month.

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