Cuomo Poised to Take Out Paladino

Posted by Sean Trende, Real Clear Politics

Republican New York Gubernatorial candidate Carl Paladino burst onto the scene less than a month ago with his surprise thrashing of Rick Lazio in the September 14 primary. Since then, Paladino’s tough talk and bombast have won him considerable media attention.  Two polls taken immediately after the primary showing him within striking distance of Democrat Andrew Cuomo helped fuel the narrative that Paladino’s angry, Howard Beale-esque rhetoric was resonating with middle class voters.

But it appears that the millionaire businessman from Buffalo may have gone too far – even for rough-and-tumble New Yorkers.  Quinnipiac, which had shown a tight race shortly after the Republican primary, now shows Cuomo leaping out to a 55-37 lead.  Other recent surveys have shown equally large margins for Cuomo – all coming on the heels of a series of controversies on Paladino’s part, including a videotaped confrontation with a reporter where Paladion pledged to “take him out.”

Paladino now sports a 33-49 favorable-unfavorable rating in the Quinnipiac survey, down from a 36-31 split a few weeks ago. A majority believe that he doesn’t have the right personality to be governor.  The president maintains a 53-45 percent approval rating in the Empire State, underscoring just how difficult it would be for Republicans to pull off the upset here, even with a more traditional candidate than they have in Paladino.

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