Connecticut Senate: Blumenthal (D) 53%, McMahon (R) 40%

Rasmussen Reports

Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race is a little closer this month, but Democrat Richard Blumenthal still captures over 50% of the vote against three potential Republican challengers.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Connecticut finds Blumenthal, the state’s longtime attorney general, earning 53% support to Linda McMahon’s 40%. Three percent (3%) prefer another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Last month, Blumenthal held a 56% to 33% lead over McMahon, the former head of Worldwide Wrestling Entertainment who was officially endorsed for the Senate at the state’s GOP Convention. Since March, support for Blumenthal against McMahon has ranged from 48% to 60%, while she has largely remained in the 30s. Her support spiked briefly to 45% in May just after a New York Times report that Blumenthal had embellished his military record in public statements over the years.

But the party’s nominee will be officially chosen in an August 10 primary, and speculation is running high that former Congressman Rob Simmons may reenter the GOP race. He suspended his campaign after the state convention endorsed McMahon

Blumenthal picks up 52% of the vote in a matchup with Simmons who earns 38%. Five percent (5%) like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. Blumenthal held a similar 50% to 39% lead over Simmons in May in the final survey before the latter dropped out of the race.

Wall Street investment banker Peter Schiff remains in the race but continues to run weakest against Blumenthal. The Democrat gets 52% in that matchup, while Schiff picks up 34%. Six percent (6%) favor someone else in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. Blumenthal’s support against Schiff in surveys back to early March has run from 53% to 58%, while Schiff has picked up 27% to 32% of the vote. He, too, got a one-time spike in support to 37% in May.

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Connecticut was conducted on July 15, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Connecticut is rated Solid Democratic in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

Male voters break roughly even between Blumenthal and any of the GOP candidates, while women overwhelmingly support the Democrat.

Around 70% of Republican voters back any of the potential nominees, while Blumenthal earns 85% of his party’s vote. Voters not affiliated with either party prefer McMahon but are much more narrowly divided when either Schiff or Simmons are the Republican in the race.

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