Burr Increases Lead Over Marshall in NC

Posted by Kyle Adams, REAL CLEAR Politics

A new poll from Rasmussen Reports shows North Carolina incumbent Republican Sen. Richard Burr with his largest lead over Democratic Secretary of State Elaine Marshall since April. He leads 54 percent to 38 percent in the survey of 500 likely North Carolina voters taken Wednesday.

Despite running in a favorable year for Republicans and despite the fact that 56 percent of voters say they have a favorable view of Burr, he has struggled to shake Marshall. He only led by 5 percentage points in a PPP (D) poll released in late August and currently leads in the RCP Average by 9.5 percent.

Given his high favorability ratings, this may partly be a result of the nature of the state. Historically, North Carolina voters tend to punish incumbents. In fact, no senator has been re-elected in the state since Jesse Helms in 1996. As a result, Democrats have targeted the seat as one of their few pick-up opportunities in the Senate this November.

The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.

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